Author Archive

  • Quick observations on the 200-day moving average
    Posted by on July 10th, 2015 at 2:31 pm, Comments: 0

    Share on StockTwits   The market briefly closed below the 200-day moving average this week so let’s look at some recent history market behavior around the 200-day […]

  • Momentum Mechanism
    Posted by on May 26th, 2015 at 6:00 am, Comments: 0

    Share on StockTwits   I want to touch on a couple reasons why momentum works and why I see it as one of the few […]

  • How does Apple trade after earnings?
    Posted by on April 27th, 2015 at 12:59 pm, Comments: 0

    Share on StockTwits How can I play $AAPL after around earnings? This is a question that has plagued traders since the beginning of time. There’s […]

  • 70 days of suffering in WalMart
    Posted by on April 24th, 2015 at 3:03 pm, Comments: 0

    Share on StockTwits Everyone says they’d like to buy blue chips on a pull back. The problem is that it take a lot to disrupt […]

  • April is very bullish in a weird way
    Posted by on March 31st, 2015 at 2:13 pm, Comments: 0

    Share on StockTwits April is well known as the most bullish month of the year. Let’s look a little deeper and study this perfect example of […]

  • Representativeness Bias: Easy Classifications
    Posted by on March 2nd, 2015 at 1:16 pm, Comments: 0

    Share on StockTwits Representativeness bias is when you classify new info based on classifications that have worked in your past experiences. We derive meaning from […]

  • Confirmation bias: A dependable filter of objective information
    Posted by on November 21st, 2014 at 1:34 pm, Comments: 0

    Share on StockTwits This series might sound like a crazy rant against using your gut instincts to ever make investment decisions. In fact, when we […]

  • Conservatism Bias: How to know what new information to focus on
    Posted by on November 20th, 2014 at 2:20 pm, Comments: 0

    Share on StockTwits Intro Traditional finance famously makes lot of incorrect assumptions about how humans make decisions. They assume that we are fully rational, and […]

  • Sentiment Flip
    Posted by on November 5th, 2014 at 7:30 am, Comments: 0

    Share on StockTwits In light of new highs and significant volatility the last couple of weeks, we wanted to take a look ahead at a couple […]

  • Pardon the interruption
    Posted by on October 24th, 2014 at 2:37 pm, Comments: 0

    Share on StockTwits The chart below is from a report I ran on early in the week while watching, in mild disbelief, the market march higher. […]