Momentum Slowdown

The sectors largely responsible for leading the market higher in the last couple months: $XLF, $ITB, $XLY, and $XLI, currently exhibit a slow down in momentum and underperformance relative to the S&P 500. This is typical for the push-pull of the index versus component and part of a healthy market rotation. A momentum slowdown like this means that the trading environment is now different; breakouts become less reliable, and the market is indicating a need for a pause. In a runaway market, this could be resolved to the upside, but it looks as if some mean reversion is in order.

I’m not saying that this is the end of the bull run by any stretch, but this activity should be heeded for those looking to buy for immediate appreciation. High beta stocks are no longer outperforming, and there is overall heaviness to the tape. If you are watching the longs in your portfolio, no one has to tell you that momentum is slowing.













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