Marketview: Point of Reference
- Posted by DynamicHedge
- on March 10th, 2012
The Greek default has come and gone and it’s no surprise that the news was baked into the cake. This was also the week that made believers out of everyone. Nonfarm payrolls could not be argued with. The recovery is real and the bull market is real, so why do I feel so pessimistic about the market?
The right stocks are no longer leading the rally. Retail has come in to claim the last gasping breath of this leg up. We need to recharge and consolidate before the next leg up. So if you’re feeling bearish, you now have a point of reference. Just know that if we close above 1385 we’re probably looking at 1400 in a flash. All of my trend indicators are still pointing skyward, but ever since we had those clumsy buy programs I’ve been very defensive on the market.
This is not a bearish manifesto. I am bullish overall and dips are still to be bought, but I also know this market has a penchant for violence. I’m concerned that the once-coveted safety sectors have been discarded back in line with ratios seen before 2011 correction. For the first time this year I can feel the true bullish sentiment among the investing public. Everyone has stopped hating this market.
S&P 500 resistance:
Disclaimer: Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities, please click here for a full disclaimer.
DynamicHedge is an equities, futures and derivatives trader based on the West Coast. He runs a long/short opportunistic relative-value strategy within a proprietary trading group. More
- Quick observations on the 200-day moving average
- Momentum Mechanism
- How does Apple trade after earnings?
- 70 days of suffering in WalMart
- April is very bullish in a weird way
- Representativeness Bias: Easy Classifications
- Confirmation bias: A dependable filter of objective information
- Conservatism Bias: How to know what new information to focus on
- Sentiment Flip
- Pardon the interruption