Historical Precedent: OPEX Weak Start, ES_F, SPY

Here are some select examples of option expiration weeks with a slow/weak start on Monday.  Note: these weeks have not been screened for FOMC announcements.

While these are not as clear as the Nonfarm payroll weeks I’ve posted previously, they still have a clear upward bias.  The lacking element is a clear pattern to trade around.  Focusing on the bullish patterns, some peak on Wednesday/Thursday and some rally into Friday.  Choose your own analog.

October 17 – 21, 2011:

January 12 – 16, 2009:

December 15 – 19, 2008:

December 17 – 21, 2007:

February 12 – 16, 2007:

December 18 – 22, 2006:

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